Review for week ending 27/01/00

Overall a disappointing week which was rescued by a major win on the Man United / Arsenal game by selling the bookings index. With the referees being told to show restraint when issuing cards a sell at 52 was great value even in a game of such importance. Out of 10 Premiership matches over the weekend only 14 yellow cards were issued (an average bookings index makeup of 14) so it will be very interesting to see at what level the bookings index spreads are pitched next week. Everton let us down (for once) by failing to score at Southampton and Charlton yet again cost us money by winning 3-0 away at Norwich (the first time that Norwich had conceded more than 2 goals at home this season). Nevertheless the potential profit for this week came to �266 which raises the total potential profit for the season to �16,017 (an average of over �840 profit per week).

	A buy of the bookings index in the Derby / Coventry 44 with William Hill Index (Soccer Spreads rating 52.0 - Makeup 0) for �8 per point would have produced a loss of �352.
	A buy of the bookings index in the Liverpool / Middlesborough game at 38 with Willliam Hill Index (Soccer Spreads rating 49.6 - Makeup 30) for �12 per point would have produced a loss of �96.
	A sell of the bookings index in the Wimbledon / Newcastle game at 38 with City Index (Soccer Spreads rating 28.8 - Makeup 0) for �9 per point would have produced �342 profit.
	A buy of the time of the first Bradford goal against Watford at 49 minutes with William Hill Index (Soccer Spreads rating 58.7 - Makeup 25) for �11 per minute would have produced a loss of �264.
	A sell of the time of the first Leicester goal against West Ham at 51 minutes with IG Index (Soccer Spreads rating 43.0 - Makeup 24) for �9 per minute would have produced �243 profit.
	A sell of the time of the first Everton goal against Southampton at 50 minutes with either IG Index orWilliam Hill Index (Soccer Spreads rating 42.1 - Makeup 90) for �9 per minute would have produced a loss of �360.
	A sell of the Charlton mini performance against Norwich at 34 with William Hill Index (Soccer Spreads rating 27.2 - Makeup 70) for �10 per point would have produced a loss of �360.
	A buy of the Sunderland performance against Leeds at 59 with IG Index (Soccer Spreads rating 77.1 - Makeup 44) for �7 per point would have produced a loss of �105.
	A sell of the bookings index in the Man United / Arsenal game at 52 with Sporting Index (Soccer Spreads rating 22.6 - Makeup 10) for �29 per point would have produced �1,218 profit.

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Please note that bets are only recommended if the difference between the Soccer Spreads rating and the spread being offered is at least twice the margin between between the top and bottom of the spread (e.g. in order to bet on a bookings index the difference between the Soccer Spreads rating and the spread being offered must be at least 8 points, in order to bet on a mini-performance index the difference between the Soccer Spreads rating and the spread being offered must be at least 6 points). The unit stake is determined by dividing the volatility of the spread into 210 (see the 'Medium' stakes in the sample unit stakes table) and then adjusting this base unit stake depending on how much the Soccer Spreads rating disagrees with the spread being offered (for a full explanation see the page 'How to use the Soccer Spreads Ratings').

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